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 You Asked for It!
» Selling Short on AGW   2009-11-27 14:55 Strawman
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Amidst much hysteria about AGW (Anthropogenic Global Warming for anyone who has been locked in a fridge for the last few years), it's sometimes a good thing to keep a cool head and look at it from the cold hard view of an entrepreneur. Like Malcolm Talkbull for instance.

Malcolm Talkbull acquired considerable capital over the years by buying and selling stocks. And right now he's evaluating the future worth of a stock with a ticker symbol of "AGW" - an influential little enterprise with heavy dependencies on enviro-science, pseudo-scientific hysteria, and international air-conditioning.

And in fact, most canny politicians have to make a call about whether they will adopt a short-term or long-term position on AGW. Right now it's trading higher than ever, but what about the future? What if the hysterical cries of 'WE'RE ALL GONNA BURN!' don't eventuate? What if they do? Will the share price go up or down? Should a politician use his political capital to sell short or buy long on AGW?

A politician can take the short term view - wring his hands about AGW and scream for greater government intervention to create ineffective feel-good measures like the ETS - or he can take a long term view and try to capitalize on post-hysterical cynicism. Puerile taunts of 'I told you so, nah nah nah nah nah nah' go a long way in our sophisticated Westminster system if they are delivered with poise and self-confidence.

Many in the Liberal party have taken a long term position. They intend to ride out the hysteria, and be in a position to capitalize on the possible collapse of AGW shares two elections from now. But party leaders can't wait that long. Party leaders have short lives in the Westminster system. Malcolm Talkbull is only looking to the next election. He has no choice but to jump onto the AGW band-wagon and ride the stock through high and low.

The current leadership tension in the Liberal party is not an ideological difference, but just a tension between the positions of 'Party Leader' and 'Long Term Sitting Member'.

Are the sea levels really rising or are we just witnessing a Poseidon bubble?


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