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 You Asked for It!
» Asylum Seeker Claims and Testability   2002-07-22 00:00 Strawman
Pawn

SMH-2002-07-22 reports that the immigration department is reopening over three hundred hundred assessments of temporary protection visas (TPVs) because of suspicions that they had been obtained under false pretenses.

SMH reports that specifically, action had been taken to cancel Mr Bakhtairi's visa, saying that he was not a subsistence farmer from a small village in Afghanistan as he claims. Instead, the department claims to have located one person who knows him as an electrical plumber from Quetta, Pakistan.

On the other hand SBS-2002-07-22 has a witness who say that he can vouch for Mr Bakhtairi's Afghan credentials. Of course he is a also a TPV, and won't actually identify himself. So much for 'coming forward' - anyone can make an anonymous claim of whatever they like.

The stage is set for a showdown.

While claims of Taliban oppression could never be proven or disproven (oppression, like beauty is ultimately in the eye of the beholder), other things can be tested - like which country you are from. With Australia now having a significance presence in Afghanistan, it is possible to actually go to the village where this man claims to have come from, and show his picture around ('do you know this man?'). Even people don't cooperate, photos can be taken and showed to the asylum seeker ('is this your village'). If he says yes, and it's actually a shot of a village in another part of the country, then he has a great deal more explaining to do.

Of course finding people in another country who are willing to identify the picture is even more powerful. ('Yup that's Abdul alright. We went to school together').

While only the brave would predict the outcome of this case, we can be reasonably sure that the immigration department will put in the resources in this case to find an answer. But we can play the what-if game right now.

If Mr Bakhtairi is shown to be telling the truth, then this will be a major win for the pro-asylum-seeker lobby. The Australian Government's testing mechanism will have shown to be flawed, and the cries of 'give asylum-seekers the benefit of the doubt' will be quite compelling.

On the other hand if Mr Bakhtairi is lying his future will look quite different. His whole family will have been found to be lying. His brother jumping into razor wire will be regarded as another stunt, The children's reports of abuse in Woomera (like having guards steal their toys) will be assumed to be baseless. Far from being pawns of the Australian authorities, they will look like pawns of the pro-asylum-seekers, and (more significantly) of their own families.

Choosing this particular family as the test case may turn out to be the most stupid move which the pro-asylum-seeker lobby has made to date. Or it may prove to be smartest.

Either way, this is a showdown worth watching. Neither side is blinking, both sides have raised the stakes, and eventually everyone is going to see the cards. One side is about to lose a lot of credibility.

Perhaps the family can be comforted by the fact that at least they are unlikely to be deported to Afghanistan. Unless it's just a stop-over.


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